Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:32:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9462…4a64
crypto · 44 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$187 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$187 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$187
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses24 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)44 / 44
History coverage2d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day64.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130
7 days−$187
14 days−$187
30 days−$187
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$42 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$98 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $108 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $109 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $214 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $263 −$94 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $259 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $108 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $134 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $212 +$42 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $128 −$9 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $52 −$25 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $157 +$59 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $208 +$48 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$11 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$19 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$10 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $43 −$20 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$7 +32%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $51 −$7 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $57 −$55 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $51 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $41 +$6 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $51 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $59 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $62 +$28 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $63 +$12 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$17 +160%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$180
other 2% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $45 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $67 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $113 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $109 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $102 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $43 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 82¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $67 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $103 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $141 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -0.3% -9.8% 55% 39% -15.0%
≤30d 44 -0.3% -9.8% 55% 39% -15.0%
≤90d 44 -0.3% -9.8% 55% 39% -15.0%
all 44 -0.3% -9.8% 55% 39% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 39% -15.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 25% -23.2%
15% -26.3% 16% -30.6%
20% -33.6% 5% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 137 history records