Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T17:15:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
94 0x9467…d15f crypto 69 markets active 1d ago coverage 12d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,450 (+8%) realized +$2,450 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate100%69W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$472per market
Trades / day5.7pace
Kalshi-fit64%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$140
14 days+$2,348
30 days+$2,348
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% +$2,293
other 15% +$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +9.3% -1.1% 100% 11% -8.3%
≤30d 69 +4.8% -5.2% 100% 6% -3.0%
≤90d 69 +4.8% -5.2% 100% 6% -3.0%
all 69 +4.8% -5.2% 100% 6% -3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.2% 6% -3.0%
10% -14.2% 3% -12.3%
15% -22.5% 3% -20.8%
20% -30.1% 3% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 68% · top 2 72% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late +7% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$34 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,450
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses69 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)69 / 69
History coverage12d
Avg bet$472
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit64%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 69 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 23? Jun 23 $38 +$28 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5AM ET Jun 23 $3,585 +$47 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 21 $340 +$3 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 21 $45 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 20 $19 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5AM ET Jun 18 $4,003 +$38 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $65 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $1,201 +$11 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET Jun 17 $1,201 +$11 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET Jun 17 $1,905 +$18 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET Jun 17 $754 +$56 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10AM ET Jun 15 $2,502 +$24 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1,806 +$91 +5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $179 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $410 +$7 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,206 +$101 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $742 +$15 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $660 +$25 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $121 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,501 +$14 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $131 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $92 +$2 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $169 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $137 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $314 +$3 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $46 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1,550 +$1,600 +103%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $140 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $614 +$12 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $486 +$5 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $283 +$4 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $68 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $117 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $180 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $269 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $303 +$53 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $163 +$2 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $126 +$3 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $303 +$43 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $240 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $302 +$25 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $221 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 23? BUY Yes 56¢ $38 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,585 31h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $340 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $19 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4,003 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $65 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,201 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,201 7d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,905 7d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $754 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2,502 9d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1,806 10d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $83 12d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $179 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $410 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1,206 12d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $742 12d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $82 12d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $87 12d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $660 12d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $121 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $87 12d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $74 12d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,501 12d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 12d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $131 12d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $149 12d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $92 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 140 history records