Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x947f…f249
crypto · 970 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$58 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$217
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses499 / 565
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1064 / 970
History coverage8d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day382.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 1064 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,535
7 days−$93
14 days−$51
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $35 $39 +$4 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $29 $37 +$8 (+27%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $29 $36 +$7 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 86¢ 100¢ $29 $34 +$5 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $31 $34 +$2 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $9 $14 +$5 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 70¢ 64¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 75¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$1 (-18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$4 -142%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $391 −$391 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$52 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -112%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,951
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $12 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $12 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $29 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $32 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $35 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $30 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $30 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $28 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $30 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $33 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $42 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $42 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $21 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $24 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 23¢ $6 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $8 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $25 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $28 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $31 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $35 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $43 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $44 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $34 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $38 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $8 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $42 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 905 -11.2% -19.7% 45% 43% -11.1%
≤30d 1064 -9.7% -18.3% 47% 45% -10.8%
≤90d 1064 -9.7% -18.3% 47% 45% -10.8%
all 1064 -9.7% -18.3% 47% 45% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover382.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 45% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 34% -19.4%
15% -33.2% 28% -27.2%
20% -39.8% 22% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $216.60 · official $215.83 (match) · 3500 history records