trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 33% | 33% | -7.9% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +1.3% | -8.4% | 29% | 14% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 38% | 25% | -8.9% |
| all | 28 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 50% | 11% | -7.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.1% | 11% | -7.5% |
| 10% | -14.2% | 4% | -16.3% |
| 15% | -22.5% | 4% | -24.4% |
| 20% | -30.1% | 4% | -31.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Yes | 33¢ | 32¢ | $32 | $31 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 24 | $73 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $13 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 22 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $21 | −$1 | -6% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $31 | −$1 | -2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 25 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 25 | $16 | +$1 | +5% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | May 24 | $6 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the SPD be part of the next German government? | Apr 09 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Apr 11? | Apr 08 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL? | Apr 08 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lee Zeldin be out as Administrator of the Environmental Protectio | Apr 07 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4? | Apr 07 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 06 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people? | Apr 05 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30? | Apr 04 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 04 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in his first 100 days? | Mar 31 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Mar 29 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga? | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Alto Knights' gross more than 7m on opening weekend? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 21 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Florida Gulf Coast vs. Stetson | Mar 20 | $6 | +$7 | +104% |