Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:11:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x948f…0b98
weather · 482 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$98 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$83 · open +$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized+$83
Unrealized+$15
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses350 / 124
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)474 / 482
History coverage47d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 8 History 474 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$59
14 days+$87
30 days+$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 12? No 96¢ 100¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12? Yes 25¢ 100¢ $3 $12 +$9 (+297%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? No 0¢ 96¢ $0 $10 +$10 (+0%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No 83¢ 90¢ $8 $9 +$1 (+8%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? No 89¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+12%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? No 79¢ 62¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-21%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June? Yes 28¢ 1¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-96%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Faria Adolfo Vallejo 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 3? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Moez Echargui Moez Echargui 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 6? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 29? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 4? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 8? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on May 24? No 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10? No 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 30? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $19 +$2 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $18 +$2 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $9 +$10 +115%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 11? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $15 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 42°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 +$3 +57%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +29%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 +$1 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11? Jun 11 $6 −$1 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $4 $0 -9%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 11 $1 +$1 +54%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11? Jun 11 $52 +$1 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Jun Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 10? Jun 10 $17 +$1 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 +$1 +33%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10? Jun 10 $6 +$1 +16%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 10? Jun 10 $30 +$1 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 10? Jun 10 $7 +$1 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 9? Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? Jun 10 $2 $0 +13%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on Jun Jun 10 $15 +$3 +18%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on Jun Jun 10 $5 +$1 +21%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 +$2 +62%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 9? Jun 10 $3 $0 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 9? Jun 09 $9 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on June 9? Jun 09 $3 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 94% +$104
finance 3% +$6
other 2% −$1
sports 1% −$9
crypto 0% −$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $10 1m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $21 22m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? BUY Yes 91¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? BUY Yes 93¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12? SELL No 98¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 41¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? BUY No 89¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $4 3h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $2 3h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12? BUY No 86¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12? BUY Yes 88¢ $2 5h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 93¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $20 6h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $19 6h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $9 6h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $10 6h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 87¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 87¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? SELL No 63¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 12? BUY No 65¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 12? SELL No 100¢ $8 10h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $3 11h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 5¢ $0 11h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 11h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? SELL Yes 3¢ $0 11h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-5.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 +9.6% -0.9% 81% 35% -2.5%
≤30d 383 +8.5% -1.9% 77% 26% -5.4%
≤90d 474 +5.0% -5.0% 74% 26% -5.9%
all 474 +5.0% -5.0% 74% 26% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.0% 26% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.1% 13% -14.9%
15% -22.4% 10% -23.2%
20% -30.0% 7% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.85 · official $49.22 · 1399 history records