Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:51:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x9495…1e41
other · 238 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$68 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses7 / 231
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)238 / 238
History coverage124d
Avg bet$200
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit58%
Chart Positions 0 History 238 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$18
14 days−$27
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $329 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 14 $428 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $220 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 14 $521 −$2 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $360 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $248 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $414 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $355 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $52 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $213 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $487 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $403 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $271 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $385 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $199 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $172 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 11 $820 −$1 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $53 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $108 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $367 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $266 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $249 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $414 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $200 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $315 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $143 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $337 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $217 $0 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $55 $0 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $128 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $261 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 08 $55 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $429 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $227 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $259 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $259 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 06 $321 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $594 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $406 −$1 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $241 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 04 $408 −$1 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $136 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $364 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $192 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $125 $0 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $174 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $200 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $533 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $295 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $415 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$36
sports 22% −$19
culture 7% −$6
politics 7% −$5
economics 6% −$5
crypto 5% −$4
world 5% −$3
tech 1% −$1
finance 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $51 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $51 3h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $51 3h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $52 4h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $52 10h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $52 11h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $52 13h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $52 15h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $52 16h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $52 17h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $52 19h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $52 20h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $45 22h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $7 25h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $52 27h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $52 28h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $52 30h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $52 31h
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $52 33h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $52 34h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $52 36h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $52 40h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $52 42h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $52 43h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $53 44h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $53 46h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $53 2d
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $53 2d
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $53 2d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $53 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 69 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 189 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 238 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1284 history records