Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:33:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94c1…8036
crypto · 976 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$33,165 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33,166 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$15
Realized−$33,166
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses653 / 682
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$41
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1335 / 976
Avg bet$159
Trades / day158.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1335 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29,740
7 days−$31,382
14 days−$34,291
30 days−$33,166
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 70¢ 72¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $430 $0 −$430 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $278 $0 −$278 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Nets vs. Lakers Nets 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$17 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $278 −$278 -100%
Nets vs. Lakers Jun 12 $4 −$12 -302%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$187 -186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$23 -154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $110 −$110 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$3,769
sports 1% +$386
other 0% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $151 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $13 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $21 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $20 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $101 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $20 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $60 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $101 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $102 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $20 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $11 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $101 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $102 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $15 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $15 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-36.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 658 -59.1% -63.0% 28% 23% -52.9%
≤30d 1335 -30.2% -36.8% 49% 39% -25.3%
≤90d 1335 -30.2% -36.8% 49% 39% -25.3%
all 1335 -30.2% -36.8% 49% 39% -25.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover158.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.8% 39% -25.3%
10% ← realistic here -42.9% 22% -32.4%
15% -48.4% 10% -39.0%
20% -53.5% 4% -44.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.32 · official $13.82 · 3500 history records