trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 92% | 17% | -17.6% |
| all | 15 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 93% | 20% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.9% | 20% | -12.8% |
| 10% | -15.8% | 13% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -24.0% | 13% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -31.4% | 7% | -35.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $118 | $118 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 02 | $58 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | Jun 02 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $184 | +$135 | +73% |
| Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | May 15 | $182 | $0 | +0% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 21 | $1,292 | −$1,280 | -99% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi | Apr 21 | $1,217 | +$75 | +6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 9? | Apr 11 | $1,216 | +$1 | +0% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Apr 05 | $1,062 | +$154 | +14% |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | Apr 04 | $1,061 | +$1 | +0% |
| Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 03 | $978 | +$83 | +8% |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Apr 02 | $974 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $40 end of March? | Apr 01 | $971 | +$2 | +0% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 23 | $969 | +$377 | +39% |
| Will LYON win First Stand 2026? | Mar 22 | $967 | +$3 | +0% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nets | Mar 17 | $966 | +$1 | +0% |