Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:59:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94dd…d824
other · 13 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$48 -74%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)9 / 13
History coverage30d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 4 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$37
7 days−$37
14 days−$37
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 100¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $16 −$15 -96%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? May 15 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi May 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? May 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? May 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 66% −$39
sports 20% $0
world 9% −$6
politics 3% −$2
tech 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $11 24h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $16 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $11 44h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 44h
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? BUY Yes 42¢ $2 29d
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi BUY Yes 17¢ $1 29d
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 29d
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 29d
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? BUY Yes 99¢ $2 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 9 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 9 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 9 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.76 · official $13.76 (match) · 13 history records