trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +6.2% | -4.0% | 75% | 50% | +14.9% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +6.2% | -4.0% | 75% | 50% | +14.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +5.6% | -4.5% | 83% | 33% | -1.7% |
| all | 21 | +24.3% | +12.5% | 76% | 43% | +12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +12.5% | 43% | +12.5% |
| 10% | +1.7% | 33% | +1.8% |
| 15% | -8.1% | 29% | -8.1% |
| 20% | -17.1% | 14% | -17.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $3 | −$2 | -53% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $51 | +$18 | +35% |
| Spain leading at halftime? | Jun 27 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $7 | +$3 | +40% |
| Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Apr 15 | $620 | +$44 | +7% |
| Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Apr 13 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Mar 25 | $130 | +$553 | +426% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Mar 20 | $3 | +$3 | +88% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | Mar 20 | $1 | $0 | +45% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | Mar 20 | $5 | +$5 | +109% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | Mar 20 | $9 | +$4 | +40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | Mar 20 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Mar 20 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | Mar 20 | $8 | +$1 | +16% |
| Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Mar 19 | $269 | −$260 | -97% |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour? | Nov 25 | $1 | −$1 | -80% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $159 | +$18 | +12% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $104 | +$1 | +1% |
| Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 30 | $150 | +$4 | +3% |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 27 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 27 | $30 | $0 | +0% |