Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:08:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94e5…667b
crypto · 1329 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$107 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$111 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$111
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses520 / 857
Est. fees paid−$26
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1377 / 1329
History coverage37d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day34.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 6 History 1377 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$59
14 days−$96
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 67¢ 69¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+3%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 74¢ 84¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+14%)
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 19¢ 21¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+11%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 12¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+22%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+31%)
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 10¢ 12¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+25%)
HSBC Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Alexandra Eala Shuai Zhang 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner? No 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 220.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -394%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -50%
XRP Up or Down - March 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Warriors vs. Suns Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$18
sports 19% +$40
other 1% +$4
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 55¢ $3 1m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 66¢ $7 3m
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Spurs 41¢ $4 28m
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) BUY Spurs 32¢ $0 32m
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) BUY Spurs 32¢ $3 33m
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Knicks 56¢ $6 34m
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Spurs 36¢ $4 38m
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) BUY Spurs 27¢ $3 40m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 74¢ $7 46m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 67¢ $7 53m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 69¢ $4 59m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 69¢ $3 59m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 74¢ $7 1h
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Knicks 59¢ $6 1h
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) BUY Knicks 53¢ $5 1h
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) BUY Knicks 53¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $6 6h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 28¢ $3 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $5 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 26¢ $3 7h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $6 7h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY No 37¢ $4 8h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 65¢ $7 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 67¢ $7 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 44¢ $4 8h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Qatar 40¢ $4 8h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 28¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 28¢ $1 8h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 73¢ $7 8h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 58¢ $6 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 189 -7.8% -16.5% 48% 29% -12.5%
≤30d 463 -3.7% -12.9% 64% 26% -12.2%
≤90d 1377 -1.8% -11.1% 38% 9% -10.5%
all 1377 -1.8% -11.1% 38% 9% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.1% 9% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.6% 7% -19.0%
15% -27.4% 5% -26.9%
20% -34.5% 4% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.85 · official $52.86 (match) · 3500 history records