trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -60.6% | -64.3% | 20% | 20% | -70.2% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -15.0% | -23.1% | 53% | 41% | -14.3% |
| all | 34 | -14.7% | -22.8% | 68% | 21% | -16.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.8% | 21% | -16.0% |
| 10% | -30.2% | 18% | -24.0% |
| 15% | -37.0% | 18% | -31.3% |
| 20% | -43.1% | 15% | -38.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 69¢ | 88¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+28%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $75 | −$74 | -99% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics | Jun 11 | $69 | +$67 | +97% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 06 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox | May 26 | $105 | −$103 | -98% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May? | May 22 | $112 | −$112 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 20 | $12 | +$1 | +10% |
| Ducks vs. Golden Knights | May 13 | $62 | +$42 | +67% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 12 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08? | May 09 | $117 | +$55 | +47% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Oilers vs. Ducks | Apr 30 | $125 | −$123 | -99% |
| Penguins vs. Flyers | Apr 26 | $108 | +$109 | +101% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 24 | $116 | +$149 | +129% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | Apr 19 | $108 | +$78 | +72% |
| Suns vs. Hornets | Apr 02 | $109 | −$107 | -98% |
| McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores | Apr 02 | $13 | +$2 | +17% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Apr 02 | $1,079 | +$51 | +5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 19 | $1,103 | +$11 | +1% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | Mar 11 | $1,060 | +$43 | +4% |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Mar 06 | $1,017 | +$47 | +5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 2-8? | Feb 04 | $775 | −$775 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 18 | $409 | −$409 | -100% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? | Jan 15 | $1,162 | +$23 | +2% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jan 07 | $1,139 | +$23 | +2% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 19 | $1,048 | +$91 | +9% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November? | Dec 04 | $950 | +$97 | +10% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 202 | Nov 20 | $927 | +$23 | +2% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 09 | $20 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 09 | $849 | +$56 | +7% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 01 | $209 | −$209 | -100% |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Nov 01 | $1,077 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Oct 30 | $30 | +$1 | +2% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 30 | $39 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 30 | $985 | +$22 | +2% |