Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94f1…4c7a
other · 14 markets active 110d ago
0.0score
+$5,658,579 +45%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,658,579 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 0 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19? Yes 64¢ $373,997 $0 −$373,997 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08? Yes 68¢ $494,600 $0 −$494,600 (-100%)
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-01? Yes 49¢ $177,809 $0 −$177,809 (-100%)
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07? No 57¢ $112,921 $0 −$112,921 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $4,337,493 +$1,922,015 +44%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21? Feb 22 $3,994,134 +$1,738,059 +44%
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19? Feb 20 $58,950 +$32,050 +54%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-19? Feb 20 $104,712 +$195,288 +186%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19? Feb 20 $405,963 −$373,997 -92%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? Feb 18 $1,647,181 +$2,016,017 +122%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-16? Feb 17 $40,346 +$7,775 +19%
Paris FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5 Feb 15 $473,344 +$421,216 +89%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-08? Feb 08 $494,600 −$494,600 -100%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07? Feb 07 $112,925 −$112,921 -100%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-01? Feb 02 $305,721 +$134,801 +44%
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-02-01? Feb 01 $177,862 −$177,809 -100%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31? Feb 01 $301,341 +$291,841 +97%
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-29? Jan 30 $44,084 +$58,845 +134%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 96% +$5,237,364
sports 4% +$421,216
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $389 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $2 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $2,101 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $31 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $9 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $7 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $95 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $14 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $2 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $14 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $4,630 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $2 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $23 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $7 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $12 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $31 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $49 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $31 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $2 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $12 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $12 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $12 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $2 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $3 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $12 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $4 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $35,000 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $512 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $1,205 109d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22? BUY Yes 70¢ $31 109d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)+18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 14 +31.0% +18.5% 71% 71% +31.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover134.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.5% 71% +31.5%
10% +7.2% 64% +19.0%
15% ← realistic here -3.2% 64% +7.5%
20% -12.7% 43% -3.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3228 history records