Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T06:57:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
94 0x94f1…b9e7 sports 739 markets active 2h ago coverage 60d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 60d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$4,492 (+4%) realized +$4,591 · open −$99
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate38%382W / 611L
Whale WR43%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$171per market
Trades / day49.6pace
Fees−$2,057est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 60d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 95% −$4,529
crypto 3% −$101
other 2% −$232
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-32.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 353 -72.9% -75.5% 14% 14% -48.6%
≤30d 755 -40.1% -45.8% 30% 29% -24.7%
≤90d 993 -25.0% -32.2% 38% 36% -18.0%
all 993 -25.0% -32.2% 38% 36% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover49.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.2% 36% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -38.6% 33% -25.9%
15% -44.6% 29% -33.0%
20% -50.0% 25% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 43% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +0% → late -50% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$134 vs −$104 · ×1.29 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

60d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4,591
Unrealized−$99
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses382 / 611
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$2,057
Open positions1
Markets (closed)993 / 739
History coverage60d ⚠
Avg bet$171
Trades / day49.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 993 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs Team Nemesis 62¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 457 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega Jun 19 $63 −$63 -100%
Valorant: T1 vs SLT - Map 1 Winner Jun 19 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $33 −$33 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) Jun 19 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Grou Jun 19 $31 −$31 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs Jun 19 $29 −$29 -100%
Pistons vs. Hornets Jun 19 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Jun 19 $28 −$28 -100%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage Jun 19 $37 −$37 -100%
Warriors vs. Lakers Jun 19 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Rockets vs. Hornets Jun 19 $60 −$60 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $36 −$36 -100%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines Jun 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winner Jun 19 $50 −$50 -100%
Hornets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5 Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 19 $83 −$83 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha Jun 19 $56 −$92 -165%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Jun 19 $50 −$50 -100%
Pistons vs. Knicks Jun 19 $60 −$60 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: JD Gaming vs All Gamers - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stag Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Nuggets vs. Spurs Jun 19 $17 −$17 -100%
Miami Open, Qualification: Liam Draxl vs Jay Clarke Jun 19 $21 −$21 -100%
Lakers vs. Heat Jun 19 $37 −$37 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs BetBoom Team (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Gro Jun 19 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) Jun 19 $49 −$49 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $50 −$50 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $50 −$50 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stag Jun 19 $62 −$62 -100%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $29 −$29 -100%
Avalanche vs. Predators Jun 19 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1) Jun 19 $41 −$41 -100%
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 19 $40 −$40 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $38 −$38 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Passion UA (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Playof Jun 19 $47 −$47 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1) Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Clippers vs. Lakers Jun 19 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $61 −$61 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 19 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 19 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifie Jun 19 $42 −$42 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 19 $44 −$44 -100%
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 19 $36 −$36 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International South A BUY Team Nemesis 62¢ $100 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 77¢ $27 9h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 54¢ $50 10h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 75¢ $50 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL FURIA 100¢ $51 10h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 50¢ $51 10h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL FURIA 100¢ $100 10h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 52¢ $27 15h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY FURIA 74¢ $186 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $31 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 22¢ $36 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 37¢ $58 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $30 16h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 35¢ $50 16h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 40¢ $90 16h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 27¢ $5 16h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 27¢ $103 16h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY BetBoom Team 47¢ $53 17h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY BetBoom Team 45¢ $270 17h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China SELL Vici Gaming 100¢ $621 17h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 19¢ $3 18h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 19¢ $1 18h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 19¢ $40 18h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 19¢ $2 18h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 34¢ $87 18h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Vici Gaming 34¢ $45 18h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China SELL Yakult Brothers 60¢ $260 18h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 33¢ $81 19h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 60¢ $116 20h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China BUY Yakult Brothers 60¢ $4 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.08 · official $0.08 (match) · 3500 history records