Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:27:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

94
0x94f2…e7a5
crypto · 615 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$258 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$258 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$258
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses490 / 125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)615 / 615
History coverage82d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 615 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$19
14 days−$28
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$13 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $25 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $25 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 09 $25 −$16 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 09 $25 −$5 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $25 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 08 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 05 $26 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 05 $25 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$258
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $27 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $26 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $28 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $27 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $25 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $26 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +1.6% -8.1% 83% 10% -8.1%
≤30d 161 -1.3% -10.7% 77% 9% -10.7%
≤90d 615 +0.3% -9.2% 80% 11% -11.1%
all 615 +0.3% -9.2% 80% 11% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 11% -11.1%
10% -17.9% 1% -19.6%
15% -25.9% 0% -27.4%
20% -33.1% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.09 · official $0.00 · 1229 history records