Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:18:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x951f…e430
sports · 757 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$14,322 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18,677 · open −$1,831
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$73
Realized+$18,677
Unrealized−$1,831
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses359 / 392
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$1,939
Open positions4
Markets (closed)751 / 757
History coverage219d
Avg bet$240
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 751 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,217
7 days+$4,945
14 days+$8,151
30 days+$3,498
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? Yes 37¢ 36¢ $59 $57 −$2 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 47¢ 68¢ $10 $15 +$4 (+42%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Spirit 66¢ 0¢ $1,180 $1 −$1,179 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 67¢ 0¢ $655 $0 −$655 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 43¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 60¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 44¢ 0¢ $442 $0 −$442 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H Moneyline Spurs 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 30¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score No 63¢ 0¢ $315 $0 −$315 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 33¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 53¢ 0¢ $430 $0 −$430 (-100%)
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Over 48¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Hawks 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Magic Pistons 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 46¢ 0¢ $329 $0 −$329 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 37¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 24¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 28¢ 0¢ $482 $0 −$482 (-100%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-11-14? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $584 −$39 -7%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $101 +$26 +26%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $508 −$39 -8%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $577 −$558 -97%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $204 +$96 +47%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $102 +$121 +118%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $600 +$400 +67%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $85 +$104 +122%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $31 +$127 +414%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $550 +$550 +100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1,680 +$616 +37%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $60 −$59 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,712 +$1,113 +65%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $31 +$128 +416%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $102 +$65 +64%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $4,831 +$2,169 +45%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $315 −$310 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$91 +89%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,277 −$1,263 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $240 +$104 +43%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $1,063 −$1,059 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,006 +$260 +26%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $420 −$420 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $51 −$36 -70%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2,736 +$2,758 +101%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1,010 −$258 -26%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$99 -97%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,615 +$291 +18%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,116 −$1,100 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,215 −$1,200 -99%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $633 −$630 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,045 +$750 +72%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3,150 +$1,850 +59%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $345 +$154 +45%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $113 −$17 -15%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $254 −$250 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,425 −$1,400 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $101 −$85 -84%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $165 +$135 +82%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $3,415 +$574 +17%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $150 −$124 -83%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $554 −$404 -73%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,354 +$1,491 +110%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,454 −$1,446 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $627 −$624 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $285 −$280 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $332 −$329 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 90% +$18,408
other 9% −$1,583
world 1% +$53
crypto 0% −$100
tech 0% +$65
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 7¢ $184 15m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 46¢ $266 15m
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 27¢ $264 16m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 48¢ $1,098 16m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $126 22m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 14¢ $506 23m
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 30¢ $468 23m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 48¢ $333 28m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 50¢ $1,523 29m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner SELL Cloud9 2¢ $19 33m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 23¢ $132 42m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 35¢ $2 50m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 35¢ $27 50m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 35¢ $1 50m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 35¢ $2 50m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 35¢ $175 50m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 58¢ $577 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 31¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 68¢ $505 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 68¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 81¢ $503 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 70¢ $80 2h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 67¢ $656 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 79¢ $101 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 68¢ $204 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 45¢ $102 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $596 8h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $4 8h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 19¢ $23 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 19¢ $4 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -4.6% -13.6% 49% 48% -2.2%
≤30d 451 -30.3% -36.9% 35% 34% -7.3%
≤90d 682 -6.4% -15.3% 45% 43% -1.5%
all 751 +0.9% -8.7% 48% 46% +0.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 46% +0.2%
10% -17.4% 42% -9.4%
15% -25.4% 39% -18.1%
20% -32.7% 35% -26.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73.19 · official $153.19 · 2298 history records