trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 29 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 45% | 45% | -5.0% |
| ≤30d | 31 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 42% | 42% | -12.5% |
| ≤90d | 31 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 42% | 42% | -12.5% |
| all | 31 | -8.1% | -16.9% | 42% | 42% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.9% | 42% | -12.5% |
| 10% | -24.8% | 35% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -32.1% | 35% | -28.5% |
| 20% | -38.8% | 26% | -35.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $35 | $35 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 6¢ | 1¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-92%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $4 | +$12 | +291% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $16 | +$10 | +62% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $18 | −$2 | -13% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $4 | +$5 | +134% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $4 | +$3 | +70% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $14 | +$6 | +41% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | +21% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $3 | +$2 | +50% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | +$8 | +250% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$3 | +90% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $6 | +$15 | +250% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +58% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Jun 11 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 10 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |