Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:01:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x9546…a48e
crypto · 71 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$66 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$55
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses19 / 49
Open positions3
Markets (closed)68 / 71
History coverage88d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 73¢ 94¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+29%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 69¢ 98¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+42%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 75¢ 88¢ $4 $4 +$1 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 36¢ 6¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-82%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 43¢ 12¢ $2 $1 −$2 (-71%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 40¢ 2¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-94%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Netanyahu out by March 31? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$5 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -26%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$5 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$5 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$1 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $39 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$7 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$3 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$2 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$2 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$2 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$11 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +167%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$5 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$5 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$50
world 2% +$6
other 2% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $7 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $8 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $12 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-24.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -17.0% -24.9% 28% 17% -14.1%
≤30d 65 -17.0% -24.9% 28% 17% -14.1%
≤90d 68 -16.8% -24.7% 28% 18% -15.2%
all 68 -16.8% -24.7% 28% 18% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.7% 18% -15.2%
10% -31.9% 12% -23.3%
15% -38.5% 10% -30.7%
20% -44.5% 9% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.00 · official $20.00 (match) · 555 history records