Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T23:13:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x9553…be34 crypto 1761 markets active 0h ago coverage 15d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$41 (+1%) realized −$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR64%break-even
Win rate78%1376W / 385L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day120.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days−$43
14 days−$146
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 781 -5.5% -14.5% 79% 58% -12.1%
≤30d 1761 -0.9% -10.3% 78% 64% -10.1%
≤90d 1761 -0.9% -10.3% 78% 64% -10.1%
all 1761 -0.9% -10.3% 78% 64% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover120.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 64% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 35% -18.7%
15% -26.7% 18% -26.5%
20% -33.9% 9% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1376 / 385
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1761 / 1761
History coverage15d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day120.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1761 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.96 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records