Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:17:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x9554…5451
other · 9 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$3 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 8 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 44¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-23%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 42¢ 76¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+80%)
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 32¢ 31¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 68¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 Under 66¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +132%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 73% −$1
sports 27% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 20m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 BUY Under 66¢ $1 34m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY No 68¢ $1 34m
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? SELL Yes 99¢ $5 41m
Morocco to score first vs. Brazil? BUY Yes 42¢ $2 59m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $2 1h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $4 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+109.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +131.5% +109.5% 100% 100% +109.5%
≤30d 1 +131.5% +109.5% 100% 100% +109.5%
≤90d 1 +131.5% +109.5% 100% 100% +109.5%
all 1 +131.5% +109.5% 100% 100% +109.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +109.5% 100% +109.5%
10% +89.4% 100% +89.4%
15% +71.1% 100% +71.1%
20% +54.3% 100% +54.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.31 · official $20.31 (match) · 10 history records