Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:14:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x9559…78b2
sports · 446 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses221 / 218
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions6
Markets (closed)439 / 446
History coverage98d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 6 History 439 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$94
14 days+$75
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 34¢ 37¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 22¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 52¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Will Egypt finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 45¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-23%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes 18¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-47%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Over 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Cavaliers 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Cavaliers 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Thunder 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Netherlands 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-3.5) Cavaliers 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5) Pistons 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Yes 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score Yes 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Timberwolves 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Over 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
World Championships: Germany vs. Latvia Germany 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-6.5) Cavaliers 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +109%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $5 +$5 +99%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Jun 11 $5 +$4 +86%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 11 $5 +$5 +104%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $5 +$5 +105%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $5 +$4 +79%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 09 $5 +$4 +79%
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 09 $5 +$4 +79%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $3 +$6 +197%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $5 +$8 +156%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $5 −$5 -99%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $5 +$8 +164%
Spread: Kosovo (-1.5) Jun 07 $5 +$4 +83%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $5 +$6 +114%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $5 +$9 +180%
Brazil vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $5 +$5 +101%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $5 +$7 +134%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 06 $5 +$4 +83%
Canada vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -99%
Hungary vs. Finland: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $5 +$6 +114%
Russia vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $5 +$4 +79%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -99%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $5 +$3 +62%
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $5 +$5 +97%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -99%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $5 +$3 +65%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 04 $5 +$6 +121%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Italy (-1.5) Jun 03 $5 +$5 +90%
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score Jun 02 $10 −$10 -99%
CB Murcia vs. Barcelona Jun 02 $5 −$5 -99%
Austria vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $5 −$5 -98%
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland May 31 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) May 31 $5 −$5 -99%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $1 +$7 +669%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$21
other 11% +$12
world 0% +$5
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 46¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 38¢ $2 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 43¢ $5 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 53¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $5 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 51¢ $5 25h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 53¢ $5 27h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 30h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 BUY Over 60¢ $5 43h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 55¢ $5 43h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $5 2d
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 51¢ $5 2d
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND W BUY 38¢ $1 2d
Will Egypt finish second in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S BUY Yes 45¢ $1 2d
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 2d
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 2d
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 2d
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) BUY Knicks 53¢ $5 2d
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Knicks 48¢ $5 2d
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) BUY Knicks 48¢ $5 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 48¢ $5 3d
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 55¢ $5 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 33¢ $3 4d
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) BUY Spurs 55¢ $5 4d
Spread: Spurs (-7.5) BUY Knicks 55¢ $5 4d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $5 5d
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) BUY Netherlands 53¢ $5 5d
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 37¢ $5 6d
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +70.4% +54.1% 82% 82% +50.8%
≤30d 124 +13.1% +2.4% 54% 54% -5.0%
≤90d 411 -3.0% -12.2% 48% 48% -15.4%
all 439 +2.6% -7.2% 50% 50% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.2% 50% -9.6%
10% -16.1% 50% -18.3%
15% -24.2% 50% -26.2%
20% -31.6% 49% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.99 · official $9.99 · 967 history records