Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x955d…2961
crypto · 555 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$40 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses397 / 158
Open positions0
Markets (closed)555 / 555
History coverage59d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day19.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 555 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$38
weather 33% −$3
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 133 -5.2% -14.2% 65% 33% -13.7%
≤30d 133 -5.2% -14.2% 65% 33% -13.7%
≤90d 555 -3.0% -12.3% 72% 16% -13.3%
all 555 -3.0% -12.3% 72% 16% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 16% -13.3%
10% -20.7% 12% -21.6%
15% -28.3% 9% -29.2%
20% -35.4% 6% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.08 · official $2.08 (match) · 1584 history records