Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:19:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x9567…e505
crypto · 241 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,909 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,545 · open +$349
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,862
Realized+$1,545
Unrealized+$349
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses123 / 108
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$130
Open positions10
Markets (closed)231 / 241
History coverage39d
Avg bet$483
Trades / day83.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 10 History 231 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$948
14 days+$1,573
30 days+$5,122
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 70¢ 77¢ $8,350 $9,240 +$890 (+11%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 58¢ 39¢ $1,913 $1,291 −$622 (-33%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes 66¢ 74¢ $624 $698 +$74 (+12%)
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150? No 68¢ 98¢ $200 $290 +$90 (+45%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 53¢ 69¢ $114 $149 +$36 (+32%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $82 $77 −$5 (-6%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes 28¢ 10¢ $166 $56 −$110 (-66%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $32 $32 +$0 (+0%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $27 $27 −$0 (-1%)
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-82%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 44¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe Hubert Hurkacz 47¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 5? No 62¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3? No 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana Francisco Comesana 34¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $52 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $380 +$112 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $61 −$58 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$15 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $17 +$16 +93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 08 $1,904 +$839 +44%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 06 $740 +$190 +26%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 06 $183 +$98 +54%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 Week of June 1 2026? Jun 05 $12 +$8 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ET Jun 05 $1,235 +$165 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 05 $356 −$167 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 05 $190 −$190 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? Jun 05 $124 −$95 -76%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $309 −$144 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 04 $51 +$49 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 04 $266 +$120 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 03 $9 +$1 +8%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3? Jun 03 $322 −$99 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 03 $52 +$48 +92%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3? Jun 03 $51 −$34 -67%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $138 +$142 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 02 $16 +$14 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 02 $36 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 02 $58 −$25 -43%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? Jun 02 $7,973 +$717 +9%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on June 1? Jun 02 $136 −$22 -16%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $61 +$25 +42%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $31 −$10 -31%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? Jun 01 $3,633 +$27 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 01 $12 $0 +3%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca Jun 01 $68 +$81 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 31 $51 +$49 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 31 $29 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 31 $54 +$38 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 31 $17 −$16 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? May 31 $53 −$53 -100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $167 −$78 -47%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce May 30 $108 −$54 -50%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana May 30 $24 $0 +1%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $55 −$55 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of May 25 2026? May 29 $12 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 29 $15 −$15 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Kopriva May 28 $764 +$242 +32%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi May 28 $49 −$17 -35%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $295 +$392 +133%
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe May 28 $344 −$61 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 28 $63 −$63 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May? May 28 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 29% −$5,547
other 28% +$1,037
finance 23% +$3,688
tech 12% +$923
sports 8% +$1,793
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 9¢ $3 44m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 21¢ $10 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? SELL Yes 20¢ $10 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 9¢ $0 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 14¢ $7 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 12¢ $3 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 11¢ $6 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 6¢ $3 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 11¢ $5 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 13¢ $3 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 15¢ $3 1h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe SELL Yes 15¢ $0 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $32 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 3h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $6 3h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 3h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 80¢ $8 7h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 6¢ $0 7h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 6¢ $13 7h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 6¢ $2 7h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 6¢ $1 10h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 6¢ $2 10h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 6¢ $1 11h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 6¢ $1 11h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 6¢ $7 11h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 6¢ $2 11h
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 65¢ $19 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -14.7% -22.8% 57% 57% +7.0%
≤30d 166 -10.1% -18.7% 52% 46% -1.5%
≤90d 231 -9.1% -17.8% 53% 48% -8.1%
all 231 -9.1% -17.8% 53% 48% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 48% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 40% -16.9%
15% -32.8% 30% -24.9%
20% -39.4% 23% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,862.28 · official $11,862.30 (match) · 3500 history records