Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T18:23:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x9572…e2e7 crypto 46 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (72 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$11 (+1%) realized +$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate93%43W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day72.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (72 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -1.9% -11.2% 93% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 46 -1.9% -11.2% 93% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 46 -1.9% -11.2% 93% 0% -9.7%
all 46 -1.9% -11.2% 93% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover72.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 0% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 0% -18.4%
15% -27.5% 0% -26.3%
20% -34.6% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$12 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses43 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day72.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 46 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 27 $71 +$3 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 27 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$11 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1PM ET Jun 27 $20 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 27 $20 −$14 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 27 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 27 $51 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 27 $20 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 27 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 27 $51 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 27 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 27 $20 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $51 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 27 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 27 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 27 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 27 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $20 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $51 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $8 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $0 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $13 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $51 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $22 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $51 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $9 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $14 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $51 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $7 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $51 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $21 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 107 history records