Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:45:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x957e…3621
other · 5 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day5.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit40%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Brazil 14¢ 14¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$8 +365%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% +$2
sports 37% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Brazil 14¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 13h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 13h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 87¢ $10 25h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+40.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +55.1% +40.3% 33% 33% -28.1%
≤30d 3 +55.1% +40.3% 33% 33% -28.1%
≤90d 3 +55.1% +40.3% 33% 33% -28.1%
all 3 +55.1% +40.3% 33% 33% -28.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +40.3% 33% -28.1%
10% +26.9% 33% -35.0%
15% +14.6% 33% -41.3%
20% +3.4% 33% -47.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.89 · official $14.89 (match) · 6 history records