Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:16:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x9581…5d6f
other · 45 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$49 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$49
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses5 / 30
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions10
Markets (closed)35 / 45
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 10 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$49
14 days−$49
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Netherlands vs. Poland end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Italy win on 2026-06-09? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Comoros win on 2026-06-08? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik Mimi Xu 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will France vs. Ireland end in a draw? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Tucuman: Julian Cundom vs Andrea Collarini Julian Cundom 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $30 +$17 +55%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Tucuman: Nicolas Villalon vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Tucuman: Julian Cundom vs Andrea Collarini Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Tucuman: Samuel Heredia vs Hernan Casanova Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $1 +$5 +441%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will England vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Netherlands vs. Poland end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will France vs. Ireland end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Mauritania win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $5 +$8 +158%
Will Syria win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Will France vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Comoros win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 75% −$32
sports 22% −$20
crypto 3% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 1h
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 1h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1h
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 1h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $15 18h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $30 18h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 19h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 44¢ $7 25h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 30h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 43h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 43h
Tucuman: Nicolas Villalon vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez BUY Nicolas Villalon 18¢ $1 3d
Tucuman: Julian Cundom vs Andrea Collarini BUY Julian Cundom 10¢ $1 3d
Tucuman: Samuel Heredia vs Hernan Casanova BUY Samuel Heredia 3¢ $1 3d
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik BUY Mimi Xu 7¢ $1 3d
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Iryna Shymanovich 20¢ $1 3d
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Nikola Bartunkova 21¢ $1 4d
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs SELL James McCabe 100¢ $6 4d
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs BUY James McCabe 18¢ $1 4d
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 4d
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 4d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 4d
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 4d
Will Liberia vs. Sierra Leone end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 4d
Will England vs. Ukraine end in a draw? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-66.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -62.8% -66.3% 14% 14% -43.2%
≤30d 35 -62.8% -66.3% 14% 14% -43.2%
≤90d 35 -62.8% -66.3% 14% 14% -43.2%
all 35 -62.8% -66.3% 14% 14% -43.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -66.3% 14% -43.2%
10% -69.6% 14% -48.6%
15% -72.5% 11% -53.6%
20% -75.2% 11% -58.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $18.32 · official $18.32 (match) · 53 history records