Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x9584…94b8
sports · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$70
Realized−$42
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)2 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$42
7 days−$42
14 days−$42
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ 60¢ $28 $28 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 49¢ 46¢ $17 $16 −$1 (-5%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 39¢ 40¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 43¢ 42¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ $28 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 43¢ $12 8h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $17 9h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 39¢ $15 10h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $18 28h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Minnesota Twins 46¢ $24 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $69.97 · official $69.97 (match) · 8 history records