trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +5.8% | -4.3% | 100% | 0% | -4.4% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +2.8% | -7.0% | 80% | 40% | -4.9% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 64% | 40% | -15.6% |
| all | 29 | +6.6% | -3.5% | 66% | 45% | +4.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -3.5% | 45% | +4.9% |
| 10% | -12.8% | 41% | -5.1% |
| 15% | -21.2% | 34% | -14.3% |
| 20% | -28.9% | 28% | -22.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $35 | $35 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 77¢ | 99¢ | $22 | $28 | +$6 (+29%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | No | 75¢ | 74¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 17 | $26 | +$1 | +3% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$2 | +7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 11 | $20 | +$2 | +8% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 02 | $23 | −$23 | -99% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Jun 02 | $22 | +$15 | +67% |
| LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 28 | $25 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | May 28 | $21 | +$8 | +39% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | May 20 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | May 20 | $15 | +$10 | +65% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | May 20 | $21 | +$6 | +30% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 13 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026? | May 13 | $13 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | May 07 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | May 07 | $21 | +$2 | +8% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Apr 21 | $20 | +$13 | +65% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Apr 18 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Apr 18 | $27 | +$39 | +146% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu | Apr 10 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | Apr 10 | $30 | +$3 | +11% |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | Mar 30 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Mar 23 | $27 | +$7 | +27% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Mar 23 | $33 | +$12 | +37% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Mar 23 | $15 | +$43 | +285% |
| Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026 | Feb 27 | $56 | +$74 | +133% |
| Rockets vs. Hornets | Feb 20 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 16 | $25 | +$39 | +156% |
| UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | Feb 07 | $65 | +$60 | +92% |