Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:12:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x95cb…2518
other · 7 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -69%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$10
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)5 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 2 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -86%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 75% −$7
crypto 21% −$5
sports 4% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 11m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 8¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Over 3¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 13¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 1h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 6h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 3¢ $3 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 4¢ $1 9h
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 9h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $9 16h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-84.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -82.9% -84.5% 0% 0% -85.6%
≤30d 5 -82.9% -84.5% 0% 0% -85.6%
≤90d 5 -82.9% -84.5% 0% 0% -85.6%
all 5 -82.9% -84.5% 0% 0% -85.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -84.5% 0% -85.6%
10% -86.0% 0% -87.0%
15% -87.3% 0% -88.2%
20% -88.6% 0% -89.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.81 · official $0.81 (match) · 18 history records