Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T07:30:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x95e6…e97b crypto 35 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3459 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$31 (+0%) realized +$31 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate61%22W / 14L
Whale WR67%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$756per market
Trades / day3459.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$196
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3459 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -12.5% -20.9% 61% 11% -8.9%
≤30d 36 -12.5% -20.9% 61% 11% -8.9%
≤90d 36 -12.5% -20.9% 61% 11% -8.9%
all 36 -12.5% -20.9% 61% 11% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3459.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.9% 11% -8.9%
10% -28.4% 0% -17.6%
15% ← realistic here -35.4% 0% -25.6%
20% -41.7% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
82% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 67% (≥$1,246) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -12% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
98.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$37 vs −$46 · ×0.81 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.28 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses22 / 14
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)36 / 35
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$756
Trades / day3459.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 36 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 21 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 21 $700 +$14 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 21 $1,366 +$161 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 21 $438 −$74 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 21 $101 −$61 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 21 $1,809 +$30 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 21 $1,928 +$34 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 21 $1,811 +$24 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 21 $2,566 +$74 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 21 $1,246 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 21 $2,367 +$55 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 21 $693 +$96 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 21 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 21 $536 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 21 $360 −$35 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 21 $444 +$43 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 21 $202 +$18 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 21 $543 −$9 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 20 $630 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 20 $372 +$44 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 20 $328 +$22 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $255 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 20 $297 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 20 $198 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $49 −$29 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 20 $110 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $338 +$31 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 20 $402 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 20 $266 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $108 −$13 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $344 +$29 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $2,498 −$300 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 20 $2,587 −$15 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $497 +$99 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $303 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $603 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $504 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $504 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records