Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:53:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x95ed…2ac9
crypto · 52 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$3
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses19 / 25
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)44 / 52
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day25.8
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 7 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days+$3
14 days+$3
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $19 $4 −$15 (-78%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 99¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+97%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$9 +847%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 11 $1 $0 -8%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% $0
politics 23% −$15
other 8% +$2
sports 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 62¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -0.3% -9.8% 43% 43% -4.2%
≤30d 44 -0.3% -9.8% 43% 43% -4.2%
≤90d 44 -0.3% -9.8% 43% 43% -4.2%
all 44 -0.3% -9.8% 43% 43% -4.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 43% -4.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 36% -13.3%
15% -26.3% 34% -21.7%
20% -33.5% 20% -29.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.42 · official $10.42 (match) · 112 history records