Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:18:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

95
0x95fa…66b3
crypto · 303 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,173 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,152 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,493
Realized−$5,152
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses220 / 547
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)767 / 303
History coverage1d
Avg bet$109
Trades / day3219.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 767 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,152
7 days−$5,152
14 days−$5,152
30 days−$5,152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $221 $464 +$243 (+110%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $253 $352 +$100 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $129 $336 +$207 (+161%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 40¢ 100¢ $48 $121 +$73 (+151%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $39 $68 +$29 (+76%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 80¢ 86¢ $57 $62 +$4 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $26 $48 +$22 (+85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$5 (+127%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 40¢ 14¢ $11 $4 −$7 (-64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+127%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+127%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $221 +$243 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $253 +$100 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $129 +$207 +161%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$73 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $39 +$29 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +127%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +194%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +317%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +194%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,117
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $7 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-54.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 767 -50.0% -54.7% 29% 24% -21.2%
≤30d 767 -50.0% -54.7% 29% 24% -21.2%
≤90d 767 -50.0% -54.7% 29% 24% -21.2%
all 767 -50.0% -54.7% 29% 24% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3219.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -54.7% 24% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -59.1% 17% -28.7%
15% -63.0% 11% -35.6%
20% -66.7% 8% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,492.62 · official $1,469.19 · 3500 history records