Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:43:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
95 0x95fb…74d7 crypto 328 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate95%312W / 16L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day15.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 198 +1.3% -8.4% 97% 4% -8.8%
≤30d 328 +2.3% -7.4% 95% 4% -9.9%
≤90d 328 +2.3% -7.4% 95% 4% -9.9%
all 328 +2.3% -7.4% 95% 4% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.4% 4% -9.9%
10% -16.3% 2% -18.5%
15% -24.4% 1% -26.4%
20% -31.8% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.9 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses312 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)328 / 328
History coverage25d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day15.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 328 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 736 history records