Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:25:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x9605…a2c4
other · 610 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$791 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$907 · open +$116
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,136
Realized−$907
Unrealized+$116
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses240 / 359
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$276
Open positions11
Markets (closed)599 / 610
History coverage48d
Avg bet$88
Trades / day20.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit43%
Chart Positions 11 History 599 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$202
7 days+$42
14 days−$856
30 days−$1,731
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Over 78¢ 100¢ $180 $231 +$51 (+28%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 78¢ 100¢ $180 $230 +$50 (+28%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 83¢ $229 $226 −$3 (-1%)
Paraguay leading at halftime? No 81¢ 100¢ $180 $222 +$42 (+23%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 16¢ $108 $84 −$25 (-23%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 100¢ $18 $45 +$27 (+150%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 98¢ $18 $38 +$20 (+109%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 71¢ 71¢ $26 $26 +$0 (+0%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 67¢ 28¢ $47 $20 −$27 (-58%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 6¢ 12¢ $7 $14 +$7 (+105%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Over 62¢ 1¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $19 +$64 +343%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $101 +$41 +41%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $182 +$64 +35%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $205 +$66 +32%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $128 −$124 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $385 +$144 +37%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $18 +$16 +86%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $5 +$9 +170%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $75 +$32 +43%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $38 −$38 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $101 +$18 +18%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 11 $209 +$78 +38%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $78 +$27 +34%
England leading at halftime? Jun 10 $26 +$15 +55%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $79 −$79 -100%
Will Greece vs. Italy end in a draw? Jun 08 $121 −$121 -100%
Will Mikel Arteta be appointed as manager of Real Madrid? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -87%
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $10 $0 -5%
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $15 +$25 +161%
Spread: Italy (-1.5) Jun 04 $19 −$19 -100%
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $41 −$41 -100%
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $83 −$83 -100%
Exact Score: Albania 2 - 3 Israel? Jun 04 $18 −$18 -100%
Albania vs. Israel: O/U 5.5 Jun 04 $19 −$19 -100%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $56 +$21 +38%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $413 +$260 +63%
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 0.5 Jun 01 $356 −$356 -100%
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5 May 31 $315 +$187 +59%
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 May 31 $27 −$27 -100%
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5 May 31 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $102 −$102 -100%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $182 −$182 -100%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $182 −$182 -100%
Exact Score: CR Flamengo 2 - 0 Coritiba FBC? May 31 $102 −$102 -100%
Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5 May 31 $182 −$182 -100%
Will CA Paranaense vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw? May 31 $263 −$263 -100%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 31 $27 −$27 -100%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC? May 31 $27 −$27 -100%
EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 4.5 May 30 $182 +$29 +16%
EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 3.5 May 30 $183 +$101 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% +$682
sports 38% −$1,624
world 1% +$186
crypto 0% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 23¢ $83 30m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 78¢ $182 1h
Paraguay leading at halftime? BUY No 81¢ $182 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Over 62¢ $26 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 67¢ $48 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 6¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 5¢ $19 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $18 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 78¢ $182 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $18 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 79¢ $271 5h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 70¢ $101 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $103 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 1¢ $4 5h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 73¢ $182 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $72 7h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $102 7h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $19 7h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $19 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $56 7h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL No 100¢ $529 22h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 62¢ $34 22h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? SELL Yes 30¢ $14 23h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 72¢ $182 23h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 72¢ $101 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Over 44¢ $41 24h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 69¢ $101 24h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 24h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -16.9% -24.8% 44% 44% -7.6%
≤30d 259 -20.9% -28.4% 43% 41% -15.0%
≤90d 599 -14.8% -22.9% 40% 38% -11.1%
all 599 -14.8% -22.9% 40% 38% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.9% 38% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -30.3% 34% -19.6%
15% -37.0% 26% -27.4%
20% -43.2% 19% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,135.51 · official $1,135.51 (match) · 1493 history records