Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:49:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
96 0x9608…ca1e crypto 1314 markets active 5h ago coverage 46d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 46d only
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$951 (-2%) realized −$951 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate79%1041W / 273L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day68.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$161
7 days−$194
14 days−$236
30 days−$179
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$386
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 201 -1.9% -11.3% 81% 7% -10.8%
≤30d 477 -0.8% -10.2% 82% 6% -10.1%
≤90d 1314 +1.8% -7.9% 79% 29% -10.3%
all 1314 +1.8% -7.9% 79% 29% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 29% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 14% -18.9%
15% -24.8% 5% -26.7%
20% -32.2% 2% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$12 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

46d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$951
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1041 / 273
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1314 / 1314
History coverage46d ⚠
Avg bet$36
Trades / day68.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1314 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $40 −$35 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $40 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $40 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $35 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $39 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $36 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $33 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $32 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $32 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 16 $29 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $27 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $53 −$27 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $52 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $48 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $48 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $48 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $48 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $128 −$128 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $129 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $128 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $123 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $123 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $122 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $122 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $121 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $120 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $121 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $121 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $121 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $105 +$18 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $101 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $41 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $41 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $35 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $33 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $33 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $33 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $29 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $29 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $39 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $36 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records