Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:17:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x960a…fb13
crypto · 507 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$774 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$780 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$780
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses207 / 299
Open positions1
Markets (closed)506 / 507
History coverage2d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day1389.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 506 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,100
7 days−$780
14 days−$780
30 days−$780
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 60¢ 84¢ $15 $21 +$6 (+39%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$8 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$21 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$11 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$6 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$10 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$28 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$11 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$28 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$11 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $81 +$19 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$31 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$13 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$13 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $82 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $209 −$34 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $282 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$9 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$34 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$24 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$4 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$12 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$71 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$9 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$26 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$17 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$4 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$774
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $16 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $9 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $14 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $9 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $14 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $17 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $17 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $12 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $16 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $14 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $16 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $18 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $13 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $14 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $15 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 506 -2.0% -11.4% 41% 30% -11.9%
≤30d 506 -2.0% -11.4% 41% 30% -11.9%
≤90d 506 -2.0% -11.4% 41% 30% -11.9%
all 506 -2.0% -11.4% 41% 30% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1389.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 30% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 22% -20.3%
15% -27.6% 17% -28.0%
20% -34.7% 7% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.88 · official $21.12 (match) · 3500 history records