Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:29:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x9617…ad6c
crypto · 82 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$109 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$110 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$110
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses30 / 51
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)81 / 82
History coverage101d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 81 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$6
14 days−$23
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 26¢ 26¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+156%)
Lakers vs. Rockets Lakers 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Spurs 51¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $27 +$1 +2%
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $22 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -49%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $68 +$8 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -46%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +52%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $5 +$4 +76%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 06 $27 −$27 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $23 −$10 -41%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Jun 04 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 02 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 02 $0 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$1 -69%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $6 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET May 29 $2 +$1 +57%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $8 −$5 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 29 $4 −$4 -97%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 19 $4 +$3 +82%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 19 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 04 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 04 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET May 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET May 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 02 $2 −$2 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 02 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Apr 29 $5 −$3 -60%
Hawks vs. Knicks Apr 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Apr 29 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Apr 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Apr 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 25 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Apr 24 $2 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Apr 23 $2 +$2 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Apr 23 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Apr 23 $1 +$3 +170%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 22 $1 $0 -0%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 22 $10 $0 +0%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 20 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Apr 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$52
crypto 32% −$57
other 9% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 30¢ $8 57m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 19¢ $5 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 24¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 62¢ $12 1h
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 37¢ $16 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 27¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 35¢ $5 2h
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 36¢ $10 2h
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 60¢ $12 2h
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 34¢ $8 3h
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 41¢ $2 3h
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 36¢ $10 3h
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 57¢ $11 3h
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 59¢ $12 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $0 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 13¢ $3 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 18¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 83¢ $14 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 29¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +7.2% -3.0% 60% 53% -6.2%
≤30d 30 -3.8% -12.9% 47% 43% -19.6%
≤90d 72 +44.9% +31.1% 36% 31% -29.4%
all 81 +36.7% +23.7% 37% 31% -29.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +23.7% 31% -29.5%
10% +11.8% 30% -36.2%
15% +1.0% 28% -42.4%
20% -8.9% 25% -48.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.54 · official $14.51 · 236 history records