Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:37:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x9637…cefd
sports · 692 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,917 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,917 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,917
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses420 / 272
Est. fees paid−$155
Open positions0
Markets (closed)692 / 692
History coverage152d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day14.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 0 History 692 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$105
7 days−$105
14 days−$105
30 days−$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $182 +$17 +10%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $38 +$12 +32%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $40 +$9 +23%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $475 +$24 +5%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $84 +$16 +18%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $16 +$11 +69%
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5) Jun 11 $84 −$84 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $117 −$117 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $190 +$10 +5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $87 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -10%
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Season May 12 $93 −$26 -28%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 12 $31 +$19 +61%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner May 12 $8 −$6 -84%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 12 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner May 12 $36 −$34 -92%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner May 12 $86 +$14 +16%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star - Map 2 Winner May 12 $9 +$11 +127%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner May 11 $92 +$8 +9%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner May 11 $92 +$8 +9%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner May 11 $97 +$3 +3%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 2 Winner May 11 $55 +$15 +27%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 11 $12 +$18 +150%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 1 Winner May 11 $35 +$7 +20%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner May 11 $27 +$1 +5%
LoL: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 1 Winner May 11 $75 +$25 +33%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner May 11 $144 +$6 +4%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao - Map 1 Winner May 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs May 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovic May 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants May 10 $38 +$12 +33%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner May 10 $86 +$14 +16%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner May 09 $95 +$5 +5%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs May 08 $69 +$16 +24%
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner May 08 $95 +$19 +20%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner May 08 $43 −$24 -55%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner May 08 $40 +$10 +26%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana May 08 $108 +$42 +39%
LoL: Myth Esports vs Frites Esports Club - Game 1 Winner May 07 $30 +$2 +6%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 07 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 07 $63 +$11 +17%
LoL: HMBLE vs Colossal Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 07 $34 +$2 +6%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 Winner May 07 $143 +$7 +5%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 Winner May 07 $135 +$8 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 68% −$860
other 29% −$1,033
crypto 2% −$54
weather 1% +$48
politics 0% +$20
world 0% −$50
economics 0% +$15
tech 0% $0
finance 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $200 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 100¢ $50 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 75¢ $38 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $50 4h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 81¢ $40 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 91¢ $182 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $499 12h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 95¢ $475 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 52¢ $21 13h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 84¢ $84 20h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes 56¢ $28 27h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $16 33h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $200 33h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 94¢ $86 34h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 94¢ $2 34h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 94¢ $6 34h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 87¢ $87 34h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 95¢ $0 34h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 95¢ $190 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $4 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 34h
LoL: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Season SELL Misa Esports 67¢ $67 31d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +0.5% -9.1% 76% 35% -16.2%
≤30d 17 +0.5% -9.1% 76% 35% -16.2%
≤90d 438 +0.9% -8.7% 68% 42% -11.6%
all 692 -1.2% -10.6% 61% 37% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.6% 37% -13.2%
10% -19.1% 28% -21.5%
15% -27.0% 20% -29.1%
20% -34.1% 15% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2480 history records