trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +31.2% | +18.7% | 83% | 83% | +28.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +107.7% | +87.9% | 86% | 86% | +36.2% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +107.7% | +87.9% | 86% | 86% | +36.2% |
| all | 18 | +10.0% | -0.5% | 50% | 50% | +22.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.5% | 50% | +22.0% |
| 10% | -10.0% | 44% | +10.3% |
| 15% | -18.7% | 28% | -0.4% |
| 20% | -26.7% | 17% | -10.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 15¢ | $326 | $325 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $260 | $259 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $191 | +$62 | +32% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $191 | +$52 | +27% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $199 | +$267 | +134% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jun 24 | $104 | −$104 | -100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $144 | +$72 | +50% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $100 | +$44 | +44% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $15 | +$85 | +567% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | Oct 26 | $23 | +$8 | +35% |
| Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings? | Oct 26 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 26 | $7 | −$5 | -75% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 23? | Oct 23 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 22? | Oct 22 | $20 | +$13 | +67% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 22? | Oct 22 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Oct 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Oct 21 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 22? | Oct 21 | $15 | −$3 | -18% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21? | Oct 21 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | Oct 16 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |