Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:41:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x9646…d98d
crypto · 1013 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,472 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,473 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized−$1,473
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses632 / 694
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions16
Markets (closed)1326 / 1013
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day264.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 16 History 1326 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,384
7 days−$1,326
14 days−$1,473
30 days−$1,473
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 52¢ 46¢ $15 $14 −$2 (-11%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 67¢ 84¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+25%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 56¢ 96¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+71%)
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Colorado Rockies 47¢ 36¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-24%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 54¢ 24¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-56%)
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) New York Yankees 64¢ 74¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+16%)
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Chicago Cubs 36¢ 62¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+72%)
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) San Francisco Giants 36¢ 10¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-72%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Over 49¢ 52¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 52¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+104%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 47¢ 4¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-93%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 63¢ 20¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-67%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 2¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-73%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 17? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 13 $0 $0 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 17? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? Jun 13 $0 +$5 +2145%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$114
other 9% −$32
sports 6% +$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 36¢ $4 1h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 47¢ $4 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ $9 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 54¢ $6 2h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 67¢ $7 2h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 36¢ $1 2h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 60¢ $9 2h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 51¢ $7 3h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 56¢ $5 4h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 46¢ $3 4h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 52¢ $3 4h
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 35¢ $1 4h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 59¢ $4 4h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $2 4h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 50¢ $4 4h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 55¢ $4 4h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 55¢ $4 5h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 47¢ $3 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 47¢ $4 5h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 58¢ $5 5h
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) SELL Los Angeles Angels 50¢ $1 9h
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) SELL Kansas City Royals 59¢ $2 9h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels SELL Tampa Bay Rays 60¢ $2 9h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers 61¢ $3 9h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 68¢ $3 9h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves 46¢ $3 9h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 48¢ $3 9h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox SELL Boston Red Sox 54¢ $2 9h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 54¢ $2 9h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 57¢ $3 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-30.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 513 -53.9% -58.3% 14% 14% -85.9%
≤30d 1326 -23.0% -30.3% 48% 12% -30.4%
≤90d 1326 -23.0% -30.3% 48% 12% -30.4%
all 1326 -23.0% -30.3% 48% 12% -30.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover264.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.3% 12% -30.4%
10% ← realistic here -37.0% 10% -37.0%
15% -43.1% 8% -43.1%
20% -48.6% 7% -48.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.71 · official $43.15 · 3500 history records