trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 3 | +14.7% | +3.7% | 67% | 67% | +34.3% |
| all | 23 | +2.5% | -7.3% | 48% | 22% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.3% | 22% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 17% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 17% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -31.7% | 13% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITF Wuning: Xing Dao Chen vs Yuta Kawahashi | Yuta Kawahashi | 77¢ | 73¢ | $30 | $28 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins | May 14 | $3 | +$3 | +83% |
| ITF Bucharest: Tilwith Di Girolami vs Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas | May 14 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | May 14 | $15 | +$9 | +61% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 18 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Bucks | Mar 18 | $8 | +$13 | +156% |
| Suns vs. Pistons | Feb 04 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Cavaliers vs. Wizards | Jan 15 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| Thunder vs. Pelicans | Dec 12 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31? | Nov 18 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Oct 20 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York Cit | Jun 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Po | Jun 17 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will another party win the most seats in New Brunswick in the next Can | May 19 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | Apr 22 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will another team win the Bundesliga? | Mar 26 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-149 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21? | Mar 07 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Feb 19 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ja Morant win the 2024-25 NBA MVP? | Feb 06 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | Jan 15 | $470 | $0 | -0% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League? | Jan 15 | $470 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jan 15 | $470 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League? | Dec 30 | $330 | $0 | -0% |
| Ipswich Town wins the Premier League? | Dec 30 | $360 | $0 | -0% |