Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T18:03:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
96 0x9660…5dd3 crypto 1687 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (108 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,732 (-11%) realized −$1,732 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate65%1029W / 552L
Drawdown60%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day108.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 23d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,475
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (108 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 410 -35.3% -41.5% 42% 40% -21.4%
≤30d 1581 +1.5% -8.1% 65% 60% -5.7%
≤90d 1581 +1.5% -8.1% 65% 60% -5.7%
all 1581 +1.5% -8.1% 65% 60% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover108.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 60% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 43% -14.8%
15% -25.0% 30% -23.0%
20% -32.3% 21% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
7% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +14% → late -11% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$6 · ×0.63 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.17 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,732
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses1029 / 552
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1581 / 1687
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day108.0
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1581 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 24 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 24 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 24 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 24 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 24 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 24 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 24 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 24 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 24 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 24 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $21 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $12 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $30 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $37 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $33 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $23 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $24 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records