Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T06:09:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
96 0x9667…d519 other 51 markets active 2h ago coverage 34d
RISKYcopy with care Fresh edge
Total PnL +$71 (+7%) realized +$71 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +70% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +54% what you keep after slip
Net edge+54%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate34%17W / 33L
Drawdown61%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day1.6pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit29%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$136
7 days+$169
14 days+$334
30 days+$334
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 62% +$121
sports 36% +$86
world 2% +$30
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+53.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +58.9% +43.8% 26% 26% +25.6%
≤30d 49 +73.1% +56.6% 35% 35% +21.7%
≤90d 50 +69.6% +53.5% 34% 34% +9.6%
all 50 +69.6% +53.5% 34% 34% +9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +53.5% 34% +9.6%
10% +38.8% 30% -0.9%
15% +25.4% 30% -10.5%
20% +13.1% 26% -19.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +24% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +70% · $-wt +24% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +68% → late +72% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$39 vs −$13 · ×3.0 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.55 per $1 lost it wins $1.55
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

34d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$71
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses17 / 33
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 51
History coverage34d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit29%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 50 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran? Jun 27 $10 +$40 +388%
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 Jun 27 $66 +$115 +173%
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 0 IR Iran? Jun 27 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $51 +$34 +67%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? Jun 25 $30 −$30 -99%
Exact Score: Curaçao 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire? Jun 25 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada? Jun 24 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $31 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia? Jun 23 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana? Jun 23 $2 +$18 +864%
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals Jun 23 $31 −$30 -98%
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Uzbekistan? Jun 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Algeria? Jun 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal? Jun 22 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $40 +$19 +48%
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Iraq? Jun 22 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 0 Cabo Verde? Jun 21 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia? Jun 21 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia? Jun 21 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan? Jun 21 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Japan? Jun 21 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao? Jun 21 $3 +$85 +2758%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? Jun 20 $40 +$20 +50%
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden? Jun 20 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? Jun 20 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 20 $5 +$40 +786%
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 20 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti? Jun 20 $5 +$45 +874%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Haiti? Jun 20 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco? Jun 20 $5 +$45 +874%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 19 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $26 −$25 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $51 +$74 +146%
Austria leading at halftime? Jun 17 $21 +$20 +93%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $51 +$28 +55%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $10 +$18 +180%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $21 −$21 -99%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $5 −$5 -97%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $20 −$20 -98%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $20 +$31 +152%
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $90 +$17 +19%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $30 −$30 -99%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $100 +$15 +14%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $41 1h
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 30¢ $26 2h
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 2h
Exact Score: Egypt 0 - 0 IR Iran? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 3h
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 35¢ $10 6h
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 59¢ $51 7h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 56¢ $30 34h
Exact Score: Curaçao 0 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 34h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06- BUY 34¢ $31 2d
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 2d
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? BUY No 31¢ $10 3d
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? BUY No 38¢ $20 3d
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 3d
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 3d
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 3d
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals BUY No 41¢ $31 3d
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Uzbekistan? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Algeria? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 4d
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 4d
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Iraq? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 5d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 67¢ $40 5d
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 0 Cabo Verde? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 5d
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 5d
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 5d
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 6d
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 14¢ $3 6d
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 6d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 66¢ $40 6d
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 6d
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 70 history records