Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:06:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x966c…087f
crypto · 921 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,415 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$351 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$351
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses497 / 423
Open positions1
Markets (closed)920 / 921
History coverage13d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day193.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 920 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$32
14 days−$351
30 days−$351
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 36¢ 40¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$6 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$14 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $59 +$32 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$22 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$28 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$31 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$7 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $13 +$6 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$16 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$350
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $14 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $14 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $11 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $16 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $15 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $15 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $16 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $13 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $16 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $6 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $16 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $13 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 583 -1.7% -11.1% 58% 51% -10.0%
≤30d 920 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 49% -13.2%
≤90d 920 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 49% -13.2%
all 920 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 49% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover193.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 49% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 45% -21.5%
15% -30.2% 41% -29.1%
20% -37.1% 32% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.06 · official $14.14 · 3500 history records