Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:35:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x966f…13a7
sports · 327 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$114 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$100 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$93
Realized+$100
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses164 / 139
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions24
Markets (closed)303 / 327
History coverage538d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 24 History 303 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days+$15
14 days+$12
30 days+$89
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 68¢ 92¢ $6 $8 +$2 (+35%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 37¢ 38¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 67¢ 68¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 33¢ 32¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 48¢ 46¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 39¢ 36¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 33¢ 30¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-11%)
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Rune Eaters 52¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Vitality 62¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+59%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 35¢ 32¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-7%)
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 15¢ 10¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-32%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 80¢ 80¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Ursa 44¢ 48¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+10%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 72¢ 70¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-3%)
O/U 2.5 Rounds Over 63¢ 62¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 Over 54¢ 55¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-25%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $6 $1 −$4 (-75%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 83¢ 84¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Under 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 40¢ 39¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs Cobolli Cobolli 61¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$2 (-74%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 14 $4 +$11 +241%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $6 +$5 +88%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 +$8 +138%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $6 +$3 +56%
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $6 +$1 +22%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $1 +$1 +109%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $6 +$7 +108%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 -10%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$2 +172%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $9 −$1 -15%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $11 −$3 -29%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Set Handicap: Shevchenko (-1.5) vs Sachko (+1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $4 +$3 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +86%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $6 +$3 +47%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +60%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $6 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $3 +$2 +60%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $6 +$3 +56%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$2 +79%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $6 +$6 +107%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $7 +$1 +18%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 +$1 +101%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
England leading at halftime? Jun 11 $6 +$4 +58%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$97
other 12% −$5
world 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) SELL Vitality 100¢ $5 3m
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 14¢ $1 40m
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 40¢ $1 50m
O/U 2.5 Rounds BUY Over 63¢ $3 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Ilia Topuria 80¢ $4 1h
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 76¢ $3 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 97¢ $1 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY No 72¢ $4 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 79¢ $4 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Vitality 62¢ $3 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Vitality 63¢ $3 2h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 47¢ $1 3h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 BUY Over 53¢ $0 3h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 BUY Over 54¢ $3 4h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs SELL K27 100¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs SELL K27 100¢ $10 6h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 1¢ $1 6h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $1 10h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 30¢ $3 10h
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) BUY T1 28¢ $1 10h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY K27 54¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY K27 52¢ $3 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 25¢ $1 13h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY K27 52¢ $2 13h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY No 52¢ $3 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +4.3% -5.6% 58% 55% -4.4%
≤30d 277 +5.3% -4.7% 56% 55% -2.9%
≤90d 279 +5.3% -4.7% 56% 55% -1.1%
all 303 +4.0% -5.9% 54% 51% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.9% 51% -7.5%
10% -14.9% 49% -16.4%
15% -23.1% 36% -24.5%
20% -30.7% 27% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $92.61 · official $92.21 (match) · 830 history records