Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:04:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
96 0x9671…7f8d crypto 191 markets active 3d ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$39 (-5%) realized −$39 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -35% what you keep after slip
Net edge-35%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate25%48W / 143L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day93.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-24.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 114 -14.1% -22.3% 25% 20% -20.1%
≤30d 191 -16.0% -24.0% 25% 18% -20.4%
≤90d 191 -16.0% -24.0% 25% 18% -20.4%
all 191 -16.0% -24.0% 25% 18% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover93.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.0% 18% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -31.3% 12% -28.1%
15% -37.9% 7% -35.0%
20% -44.0% 4% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.33 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$39
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses48 / 143
Open positions0
Markets (closed)191 / 191
History coverage6d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day93.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 191 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -47%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -45%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $3 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 603 history records