trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 100% | 0% | -7.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 43% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 43% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 20 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 45% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.8% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 78¢ | $37 | $37 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $17 | $0 | +2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 07 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 06 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $18 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 03 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jun 26 | $7 | $0 | +4% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | May 11 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the | May 11 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? | May 05 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 24 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Mar 23 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Wofford vs. Tennessee | Mar 22 | $12 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 17 | $13 | $0 | -1% |