trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -7.3% | -16.1% | 50% | 50% | +19.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 60% | 60% | +19.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 60% | 60% | +19.7% |
| all | 8 | -33.8% | -40.1% | 38% | 38% | -24.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.1% | 38% | -24.4% |
| 10% | -45.8% | 38% | -31.6% |
| 15% | -51.1% | 25% | -38.2% |
| 20% | -55.9% | 25% | -44.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 23¢ | 19¢ | $124 | $101 | −$23 (-19%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $66 | $71 | +$6 (+8%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 52¢ | $60 | $54 | −$6 (-9%) |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | $45 | $48 | +$3 (+6%) |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | No | 71¢ | 96¢ | $12 | $16 | +$4 (+35%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$30 | +145% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | Jun 12 | $150 | +$38 | +25% |
| US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31? | Jun 08 | $2 | +$1 | +59% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Feb 28 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sho | Feb 07 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Will Player 152 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Jan 30 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |