Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:26:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

96
0x968a…4ec8
crypto · 123 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
+$166 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$176 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$176
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses85 / 36
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)121 / 123
History coverage238d
Avg bet$224
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$194
7 days+$194
14 days+$194
30 days+$194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) Bilibili Gaming 70¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3) PSG Talon 66¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? Yes 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$20 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$103 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $129 −$125 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $176 −$18 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $227 +$25 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $153 −$17 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $152 +$42 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $154 +$25 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $126 +$25 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $107 +$24 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$15 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$13 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $123 −$21 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$48 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$51 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $78 +$41 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $153 −$78 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$45 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $127 −$15 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $326 −$203 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$31 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $293 −$17 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $280 −$10 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $283 +$19 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $271 +$22 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $504 +$62 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $357 −$76 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $508 +$38 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $554 +$41 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $360 +$88 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $514 +$42 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $413 +$39 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $401 +$14 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $484 +$11 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $411 +$176 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $385 −$38 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $378 −$139 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $410 +$44 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $327 +$153 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $659 −$384 -58%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$194
sports 0% −$26
other 0% $0
finance 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -0.6% -10.1% 72% 43% -8.9%
≤30d 113 -0.6% -10.1% 72% 43% -8.9%
≤90d 113 -0.6% -10.1% 72% 43% -8.9%
all 121 -2.1% -11.5% 70% 43% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 43% -8.9%
10% -19.9% 25% -17.7%
15% -27.7% 15% -25.6%
20% -34.8% 6% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.10 · official $10.10 (match) · 735 history records