Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T19:42:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5
score
96 0x968e…e3bc sports 7 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$25 (+1%) realized +$25 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%7W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$246per market
Trades / day14.0pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +4.3% -5.7% 100% 0% -5.9%
≤30d 7 +4.3% -5.7% 100% 0% -5.9%
≤90d 7 +4.3% -5.7% 100% 0% -5.9%
all 7 +4.3% -5.7% 100% 0% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.7% 0% -5.9%
10% -14.7% 0% -14.9%
15% -22.9% 0% -23.1%
20% -30.5% 0% -30.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 43% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% too few recent
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +4% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses7 / 0
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$246
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 7 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Jeline Vandromme vs Yue Yuan Jun 23 $184 +$13 +7%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Hayu Kinoshita vs Viktoriya Tomova Jun 23 $277 +$8 +3%
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolina Jun 23 $270 +$5 +2%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Xiaodi You vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 23 $264 +$8 +3%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Arantxa Rus vs Veronika Podrez Jun 23 $250 +$11 +4%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Cadence Brace vs Kayla Day Jun 23 $229 +$17 +7%
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Jun 23 $245 +$8 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Jeline Vandromme vs Yue Yuan SELL Jeline Vandromme 100¢ $197 37m
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Jeline Vandromme vs Yue Yuan BUY Jeline Vandromme 93¢ $184 48m
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Hayu Kinoshita vs Viktoriya Tomova SELL Hayu Kinoshita 100¢ $285 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Hayu Kinoshita vs Viktoriya Tomova BUY Hayu Kinoshita 97¢ $277 1h
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolina SELL Elina Svitolina 100¢ $275 1h
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolina BUY Elina Svitolina 98¢ $270 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Xiaodi You vs Leolia Jeanjean SELL Leolia Jeanjean 100¢ $272 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Xiaodi You vs Leolia Jeanjean BUY Leolia Jeanjean 97¢ $264 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Arantxa Rus vs Veronika Podrez SELL Veronika Podrez 100¢ $261 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Arantxa Rus vs Veronika Podrez BUY Veronika Podrez 96¢ $250 2h
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens SELL Naomi Osaka 100¢ $253 4h
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens BUY Naomi Osaka 97¢ $245 5h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Cadence Brace vs Kayla Day SELL Kayla Day 100¢ $246 5h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Cadence Brace vs Kayla Day BUY Kayla Day 93¢ $229 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 16 history records